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[任务跟踪] SpaceX发射业务:日程安排launchSchedule/载荷清单Manifest与结果:挑战发射频次记录

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 楼主| hkhtg090201 发表于 2016-8-10 21:09 | 显示全部楼层
Flying_Pencil 发表于 2016-8-10 18:06
pbdes说的年内计划比这个表少了一颗,最多还有十次发射

FH的首射几乎肯定不在今年了.
cmj9808 发表于 2016-8-11 21:32 | 显示全部楼层
Flying_Pencil 发表于 2016-8-10 18:06
pbdes说的年内计划比这个表少了一颗,最多还有十次发射

95楼去掉FH和未定的BulgariaSat-1,就是10次
 楼主| hkhtg090201 发表于 2016-8-13 06:27 | 显示全部楼层
美国空军计划 搭F9的顺风车, 发射一颗 实验性气象卫星, 在明年(2017).

   
U.S. Air Force plans to launch a weather demonstration satellite aboard a SpaceX Falcon 9 rocket next year as a rideshare ...


http://spacenews.com/house-panel ... ors-6-launch-funds/

PS: 都说军方的卫星合同不好签, 这种级别不太高的军方卫星,给SpaceX发射的也不少了.

Flying_Pencil 发表于 2016-8-14 16:01 | 显示全部楼层
PBDES给出的年内剩余9次任务

Customers expecting a launch this year on Falcon 9 vehicles:

— Spacecom, Amos-6. Launch is currently scheduled for Sept. 3-4. An in-orbit failure of a Spacecom satellite has put pressure on the company to shore up its revenue base and customer set and to launch Amos-6 as soon as possible. It’s already late.

— EchoStar Corp., EchoStar-23. EchoStar told investors to expect a launch in October.

— SES, SES-10. The Luxembourg fleet operator was an early SpaceX supporter and has two satellites slated for launch on Falcon 9 this year. SES-10 is set to go first, and has substantial incremental capacity that SES is counting on to drive revenue growth late this year.

— SES, SES-11/EchoStar-105. This satellite, part of commercial agreement with EchoStar, is perhaps the most likely inaugural customer for a reused Falcon 9 first stage because it is intended to replace capacity in orbit.

SES has said it wants a substantial discount on SpaceX’s already low price in exchange for being the first customer. But SES has made clear to investors that regular use of partially reusable rockets is a key component of SES’s strategy for reducing capital spending. SES insurance underwriters have said they will not insist on major premium increases to cover a launch with a reused first stage.

— NASA, Dragon CRS-10 cargo-transport mission to the International Space Station, now scheduled for November.

— KT Corp. of South Korea, Koreasat-5A. The company has told investors the launch should occur before the end of this year.

In addition the above launches from Cape Canaveral, SpaceX has three launches scheduled from Vandenberg.

— Iridium Communications, Iridium Next 1-10. The first 10 satellites for Iridium’s second-generation constellation is now scheduled for mid-September.

— National Space Program Office (NSPO) of Taiwan, Formosat-5; and Spaceflight Inc.’s Sherpa small-satellite tug. Repeatedly delayed, this launch is scheduled for late this year. But in a launch manifest crowded with customers whose businesses depend on mission timing, NSPO may find it hard to maintain its slot.

— Iridium Communications, Iridium Next 11-20. For insurance and satellite-validation reasons, Iridium needs to wait three months from the first launch to the second. Assuming a successful launch of the first 10 satellites, a slip into early 2017 would not do damage to the company.

- See more at: http://spacenews.com/spacex-succ ... thash.HAG1le34.dpuf
cmj9808 发表于 2016-8-16 23:10 | 显示全部楼层
本帖最后由 cmj9808 于 2016-8-16 23:11 编辑
Flying_Pencil 发表于 2016-8-14 16:01
PBDES给出的年内剩余9次任务

Customers expecting a launch this year on Falcon 9 vehicles:

根据这篇文章更新一下发射列表,2016年的发射计划已完成8/17

LC-40 (CCAFS)
LC-39A (KSC)
LC-4E (VAFB)
1月
Jason-3
2月
3月
SES-9
4月
CRS-8
5月
JCSAT-14
Thaicom-8
6月
Eutelsat & ABS
7月
CRS-9
8月
JCSAT-16
9月
AMOS-6

铱星 Flight 1
10月
Echostar 23
                    SES-10
福卫5
11月
CRS-10
KoreaSat 5A
SES-11/Echostar 105
12月

铱星 Flight 2






liyue1997b 发表于 2016-8-17 16:24 | 显示全部楼层
一个月一射,速度太慢了

点评

贪多嚼不碎,象去年。  发表于 2016-8-17 20:18
Flying_Pencil 发表于 2016-8-18 21:53 | 显示全部楼层
Launchphotography网站给出的Amos 6后直接是10月中旬的SES10,中间断档
The next SpaceX Falcon 9 rocket will launch the AMOS-6 communications satellite for Israel on
September 3 at 3:00am EDT. The launch window will stretch two hours. Following that, a Falcon 9
will launch the SES-10 communications satellite in mid-October.
Flying_Pencil 发表于 2016-8-18 21:55 | 显示全部楼层
Flying_Pencil 发表于 2016-8-18 21:53
Launchphotography网站给出的Amos 6后直接是10月中旬的SES10,中间断档

范登堡来个连续两发?生产跟不上了?
 楼主| hkhtg090201 发表于 2016-8-19 07:08 | 显示全部楼层
Flying_Pencil 发表于 2016-8-18 21:55
范登堡来个连续两发?生产跟不上了?

要看现在 金衣星的整备进程,要它9月份发射还真有点怀疑... 1~10到现在还没有运完吧.
cmj9808 发表于 2016-8-19 22:59 | 显示全部楼层
Flying_Pencil 发表于 2016-8-18 21:55
范登堡来个连续两发?生产跟不上了?

不会,福卫5要到10-11月,两次范登堡之间会有1-2次GTO发射
joki 发表于 2016-9-5 10:28 | 显示全部楼层
@cmj9808

SpaceX未来发射计划里面有一单,写的用户是BIGELOW AEROSPACE,火箭用的是F9。这到底打的是什么?膨胀舱段?印象里没看到有这个消息啊。
cmj9808 发表于 2016-9-5 10:56 | 显示全部楼层
joki 发表于 2016-9-5 10:28
@cmj9808

SpaceX未来发射计划里面有一单,写的用户是BIGELOW AEROSPACE,火箭用的是F9。这到底打的是什 ...

这个有好几年了,Bigelow当时签的应该是agreement,有实质需求再转化为contract,类似的还有两次dragonlab,以前SpX合同少的时候放在发射列表里充数,后来也一直没去掉。
joki 发表于 2016-9-5 11:10 | 显示全部楼层
cmj9808 发表于 2016-9-5 10:56
这个有好几年了,Bigelow当时签的应该是agreement,有实质需求再转化为contract,类似的还有两次dragonla ...

如果是这个的话,应该黄了吧?我记得Bigblow签了Altas5来发射首个正式充气空间站舱段,理由是F9整流罩不够长。除此之外,Spx好像就没有大型LEO任务了。
cmj9808 发表于 2016-9-5 11:53 | 显示全部楼层
joki 发表于 2016-9-5 11:10
如果是这个的话,应该黄了吧?我记得Bigblow签了Altas5来发射首个正式充气空间站舱段,理由是F9整流罩不 ...

也不算黄了,Bigelow可以转成其他的,反正早晚用的着,以后BA330真上了ISS,免不了要从SpX那订座。
joki 发表于 2016-9-5 14:03 | 显示全部楼层
cmj9808 发表于 2016-9-5 11:53
也不算黄了,Bigelow可以转成其他的,反正早晚用的着,以后BA330真上了ISS,免不了要从SpX那订座。

转成DragonV2飞船座位合同么?那等于就是买服务,不是买火箭发射了。
cmj9808 发表于 2016-9-5 18:24 | 显示全部楼层
joki 发表于 2016-9-5 14:03
转成DragonV2飞船座位合同么?那等于就是买服务,不是买火箭发射了。

预付款,买啥不是买
 楼主| hkhtg090201 发表于 2016-10-4 06:43 | 显示全部楼层
根据刚刚更新的NSF论坛美国发射计划贴, 范登堡和卡角39A仍暂时定在NET11月:

NET November (TBD) - Iridium Next Flight 1 (x10), MicroSat-1a, MicroSat-1b - Falcon 9-030 - Vandenberg SLC-4E
NET November (TBD) - SES-10 - Falcon 9 - Kennedy LC-39A (TBD) (or 2017)
NET November (TBD) - FORMOSAT 5, SHERPA SSO: eXCITe (PTB 1), Blacksky Global Pathfinder 2, Flock-2c (x56), Lemur-2 (x8), Corvus-BC 3, ICE-Cap, PropCube 2, Arkyd-6A, CNUSail 1, KAUSAT 5, SIGMA (KHUSAT 3), CANYVAL-X 1, CANYVAL-X 2, STEP Cube Lab, EcAMSat, ISARA, OCSD B, OCSD C, Fox 1C, Fox 1D, Nayif 1, skCUBE, ITASAT 1, Aalto 1, DIDO 1, 3Cat 1, LMPC (AeroCube 9), ROBUSTA 1B, SUCHAI - Falcon 9 - Vandenberg SLC-4E (or 2017)
NET November (TBD) - Echostar 23 - Falcon 9 -  Kennedy LC-39A (TBD) (or 2017)


 楼主| hkhtg090201 发表于 2016-10-5 16:21 | 显示全部楼层
Gwynne Shotwell的更新:

https://twitter.com/pbdes/status/783485142782267392
    We do anticipate being back in flight this yr w/ a couple of flights.
    预计今年还能飞2次.

https://twitter.com/pbdes/status/783486592958595072
    Goal is still to fly 1st Commercial Crew Dragon next year.
   第一次载人飞行的目标仍定在明年。

https://twitter.com/pbdes/status/783486865525444608
    First Falcon Heavy should fly by mid- next year. We'll need at least one more landing pad.
   第一次重型猎鹰预计明年中期发射...

https://twitter.com/pbdes/status/783488194964631552
    Our satellite Internet constellation 'is still pretty TBD.' Ground terminal cost remains challenge as it has been for others.
  互联网卫星星座计划 "仍然要相当的等待 "...


cmj9808 发表于 2016-10-29 16:28 | 显示全部楼层
根据F9-029的故障调查进展,仍安排在年内进行的F9发射不超过2次,更新一下发射列表,2016年的发射计划已完成8/17


LC-40 (CCAFS)
LC-39A (KSC)
LC-4E (VAFB)
1月
Jason-3
2月
3月
SES-9
4月
CRS-8
5月
JCSAT-14
Thaicom-8
6月
Eutelsat & ABS
7月
CRS-9
8月
JCSAT-16
9月
AMOS-6


10月

                    
11月


12月
Echostar 23
铱星 Flight 1









 楼主| hkhtg090201 发表于 2016-11-1 10:31 | 显示全部楼层
PS: 现在已知的情况是,
   1. 在Mcgregor,一个一级正在测试(S1-31),  还有一个一级在机库??(发射CRS-10), S1-3?.
   2. 在范登堡,一枚一级(S1-30?)在等待发射.
  

SpaceX准备猎鹰9测试; AMOS-6调查范围缩窄
SpaceX prepares Falcon 9 test; AMOS-6 investigation narrows
October 31, 2016 by Chris Gebhardt
https://www.nasaspaceflight.com/2016/10/spacex-prepares-upcoming-falcon-9-amos-6/

... ...

    Currently, a Falcon 9 first stage is understood to be patiently waiting at Vandenberg Air Force Base in California. It is believed this Falcon 9 will launch the first mission since the AMOS-6 incident on a December launch that may involve the Iridium NEXT flight.
    目前,一个Falcon 9第一级被理解为在加利福尼亚的Vandenberg空军基地耐心地等待。相信这个Falcon 9将在12月发射可能涉及铱星NEXT飞行的第一个任务 ... 自从AMOS-6事件后。
  
   Meanwhile, a new first stage was spotted at McGregor, erected on the test stand. A hot fire of the nine core stage Merlin 1D engines is expected either on Monday or Tuesday.
  同时,一个新的第一级发现在麦克格雷戈,架设在测试台上。核心级九个Merlin 1D发动机的热点火  预计在星期一或星期二。

...  ...

   Also at McGregor, though currently in storage, is another first stage. It is possible this stage may be used for the CRS-10 Dragon launch, also from 39A.
   同样在McGregor,虽然目前 在存储库内, 是另一枚第一级。这个级段可能用于CRS-10龙的发射,也从39A。


... ...

... ...

   The two high-risk COPVs on Atlantis were eventually replaced, and Discovery and Endeavour flew out their COPV sets through an overall end of program risk of a 1 in 489 chance of a COPV failure resulting in a Loss Of Vehicle (LOV) or Loss Of Crew and Vehicle (LOCV) event.
   亚特兰蒂斯的两个高风险COPV最终被取代,发现和奋斗通过整个方案风险飞出他们的COPV组,在489次COPV失败的机会中导致车辆丢失(LOV)或损失船员和车辆(LOCV)事件。


  PS:航天飞机时代COPVs就不稳定...
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